New Colonies

[Shendemiar]

How do you like the thing that ive had 1/7 success rate on my colonization attemps... And most of them are done to island ~8 hours away. Thats sucky!

[2kcastle]

your trying to colonise an island 8 hours away from your first isle ? or have i read that wrong ?

[Shendemiar]

2kcastle said:

your trying to colonise an island 8 hours away from your first isle ? or have i read that wrong ?

Yeah... it sounded like a great idea... as it is unruled score 72 island, but now im having second thougs as i could have builded allready it to that stage if i had got one near to me.

[SkulkrinBait]

That's bad, the odds of success are 50%, so the chances of failing 7 times are: 0.75% correct to 2 significant figures.

Pretty unlucky, a 1 in 125 chance!

;D

[eproxy]

I've colonised both mine first time : )

Soon (4 days max) I should be going for 1:14:8, but I might wait for 1:14:10 to become unruled; it's closer, inactive and has over 60 points.

[Shendemiar]

Well i got it eventually, but it was like banging my head to a wall... but i guess im too stubborn.

So 2/8 success rate compared to you 2/2 can only mean that your next 6 attempts will fail ;D I hope you pick an island thats 8 hours away from you ;D

[eproxy]

I've still got an unrules in my home square, its the only one left actually. If it helps I usually have exceedingly bad luck on colonising on IKUK, it quite often takes me 9 attempts and they're sometimes much further journeys.

[Tomthebuffalo]

I think I am going for the isles in my home square, and surrounding it, concentrating on expanding southwards into ocean 11.

Although I'm not sure how many isles I want on this server... It might put me off suiciding, and I want to suicide if you guys are!


In other news, just failed colonising an unamed isle for the 6th time!
I even spied it to make sure it's mainhouse was level 1.

[Shendemiar]

tomthebuffalo said:

In other news, just failed colonising an unamed isle for the 6th time!
I even spied it to make sure it's mainhouse was level 1.

Auts! thats even worse what i had.

[mmupatton]

Argh! My previous record was 4 times. 7th time?

(and you are sure it is unruled, right? no offense, but we both know someone who forgot to check)

[Tomthebuffalo]

Sure!
Even spied the damn thing...

Island
Name unnamed
Position 1:91:25
Score 1

15 hours ago
Espionage of unnamed (1:91:25)
Espionage successful.
Units of tom_the_buffalo_soldier
Total Losses
Small Warships 1 0
Units of herrscherlose Insel
Total Losses
Buildings
Main House Level 1
Technologies
Resources
Gold 106
Stone 103
Lumber 104

7th attack has just been sent.
I wonder what the chanes of that failing are? Would it be 0.5^7?

[coruscation]

pwned

[SkulkrinBait]

At least your spy was succesful!

[eproxy]

I think thats more of a constellation prize though

On IKUK I've had as many 12-14 fail before, unlikely as it is. Just think, unless there is a limit on the number of unsuccessful attempts it would be possible to have very many failures ('easily' 30+).

[SkulkrinBait]

I got my new colony at the 7th attempt!

Carangrane (1:58:10)

I reckon Sven has tinkered with the 50% rule somewhat, maybe it's 50% for your first colony but then it plummets based on how many colonies you have? He might have implemented this to try to reduce the chances of players having 100s of colonies perhaps and inbalancing the game?